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When Will Coronavirus End? The Singaporean AI Answered December 1

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Many people wonder when this pandemic ends. Everyone is practicing the new normal to prevent the spread of the virus and keep it from spreading to one person to another. Regarding this matter, more individuals are confused with different claims of professionals and scientists about the end of this coronavirus. We still need to wait for the experts’ confirmation for us to know the real statistics of the crisis we are going through.

The Singapore University of Technology and Design (SUTD) uses an AI algorithm to come up with the data that includes the specific COVID-19 cases, deaths, recoveries, and even the possible date when this pandemic ends.

According to the data from Singapore, each country has a different projection when the virus will end. Artificial Intelligence was used to learn the infection curve in a particular country. In every statistic, it will tell the chance of flattening the curve by using a percentage of 97, 99, and 100.

Let us take a look at each countries’ projection regarding this coronavirus, and we will know when it possibly ends.

Vietnam

Image: SUTD

Vietnam was so far one of the Southeast Asian countries that had to flatten the curve earlier than others. If we will take a look at the data, there was a 99% chance that it would end on April 29, 2020, and the country will win against it on May 14.

The current statistic of coronavirus in Vietnam is 270 confirmed cases, 222 recovered COVID patients and 0 deaths.

Malaysia

Image: SUTD

In the first half of Malaysia’s statistics, it was not good. However, we will see that on April 29, 2020, it already started to flatten the curve. Based on the AI algorithm, the virus will end on July 8, 2020.

The current COVID-19 statistics are 5945 confirmed cases, 4,087 recovered, and 100 deaths.

Indonesia

Image: SUTD

Currently, Indonesia has 9,771 confirmed cases, 1391 recovered, and 784 deaths. It is one of the Southeast Asian countries with the highest COVID-19 patients. According to the prediction, the virus will come to an end on July 30, 2020.

Philippines

Image: SUTD

There was an incomplete data given by the Philippines. However, it is also one of the Southeast Asian countries that were walloped by the virus. The current statistics in the Philippines is 8212 confirmed cases, 1023 recovered, and 558 deaths. Based on the algorithm, the virus will possibly end on July 8, 2020.

Singapore

Image: SUTD

In the half of data, the country was hardly affected by the virus, but eventually, it said to be seeing the new light with 97 percent chances that it will end on May 9, 99 percent on May 15, and possibly end on June 10 with 100% chance. The country’s confirmed cases are 15,641, 1,188 recovered, and 14 deaths.

 

In the global data, it said that it would take until December 1 to end the coronavirus. Nonetheless, it still depends on the population movement, virus mutation, and people’s cooperation. The AI algorithm mentioned above is just a projection, so everyone still has to make some new changes and work with cooperation.

Article Source: Mashable SE  Asia

Cover image sourced from: Free Malaysia Today.

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COVID-19

Coronavirus Found In Air Samples Up To 13 Feet From Patients

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A new study examining air samples from hospital wards with COVID-19 patients has found the virus can travel up to 13 feet (four meters) — twice the distance current guidelines say people should leave between themselves in public.

The preliminary results of the investigation by Chinese researchers were published Friday in Emerging Infectious Diseases, a journal of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

They add to a growing debate on how the disease is transmitted, with the scientists themselves cautioning that the small quantities of virus they found at this distance are not necessarily infectious.

The researchers, led by a team at the Academy of Military Medical Sciences in Beijing, tested surface and air samples from an intensive care unit and a general COVID-19 ward at Huoshenshan Hospital in Wuhan. They housed a total of 24 patients between February 19 and March 2.

They found that the virus was most heavily concentrated on the floors of the wards, “perhaps because of gravity and airflow causing most virus droplets to float to the ground.”
High levels were also found on frequently touched surfaces like computer mice, trashcans, bed rails, and doorknobs.

“Furthermore, half of the samples from the soles of the ICU medical staff shoes tested positive,” the team wrote. “Therefore, the soles of medical staff shoes might function as carriers.”

Airborne threat?

The team also looked at so-called aerosol transmission — when the droplets of the virus are so fine they become suspended and remain airborne for several hours, unlike cough or sneeze droplets that fall to the ground within seconds.

They found that virus-laden aerosols were mainly concentrated near and downstream from patients at up to 13 feet — though smaller quantities were found upstream, up to eight feet.

Encouragingly, no members of the hospital staff were infected, “indicating that appropriate precautions could effectively prevent infection,” the authors wrote.

They also offered advice that bucks orthodox guidelines: “Our findings suggest that home isolation of persons with suspected COVID-19 might not be a good control strategy” given the levels of environmental contamination.

Aerosolization of the coronavirus is a contentious area for scientists who study it because it is not clear how infectious the disease is in the tiny quantities found in ultrafine mist.

The World Health Organization has so far downplayed the risk.

US health authorities have adopted a more cautious line and urged people to cover their faces when out in public in case the virus can be transmitted through normal breathing and speaking.

Source: ENP

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